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The Evolution of Technical Analysis: Financial Prediction from Babylonian Tablets to Bloomberg Terminals

ISBN: 978-1-57660-349-9
Hardcover
224 pages
September 2010
List Price: US $29.95
Government Price: US $15.27
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The Evolution of Technical Analysis: Financial Prediction from Babylonian Tablets to Bloomberg Terminals (1576603490) cover image
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Introduction vii

Chapter 1: Ancient Roots 1

The Beginnings 2

Ancient Babylon 5

Ancient Greece 11

Ancient Rome 15

Negative Attitudes toward Traders 18

Chapter 2: The Middle Ages and the Renaissance 21

Western Europe 22

Technical Analysis 32

Societal Attitudes 39

Chapter 3: Asia 43

Japan 44

China 49

Chapter 4: The New World 59

Wall Street 60

Societal Attitudes 73

Chapter 5: A New Age for Technical Analysis 81

Dow Theory 82

Relative Strength 91

Market Cycles and Waves 92

Chart Patterns 94

Volume of Trading 96

Market Breadth 99

Nontechnical Analysis 99

Chapter 6: Technical Analysis Today 105

Trends 106

Patterns 109

Strength 111

Cycles 112

Wall Street’s Reinterpretation of Technical Analysis 114

Chapter 7: A Brief History of Randomness and Efficient Markets 131

Prices As Objects of Study 134

The Emergence of Efficient Markets 137

What is Random? 141

Chapter 8: Academic Approaches to Technical Analysis 149

Theoretical Underpinnings 150

Empirical Evaluation 151

Adaptive Markets and Technical Analysis 161

Notes 167

Bibliography 191

Acknowledgments 199

About the Authors 203

Index 205

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