Quantitative Conservation of Vertebrates

Preface vii

Acknowledgements ix

Companion website and CD-ROM x

1 Introduction: the role of science in conservation 1

Part I Basic concepts in scientific investigations for conservation 7

2 Using models in conservation biology 9

3 Models of population dynamics 15

4 Applying population models to conservation 32

5 Basics of study design and analysis 47

Part II Conservation studies and monitoring programs 71

6 General principles of estimation 73

7 Occupancy (presence–absence) analysis 81

8 Sample counts for abundance estimation 101

9 Distance sampling for estimating density and abundance 115

10 Capture–mark–recapture studies for estimating abundance and density 135

11 Estimation of survival from radiotelemetry, nesting success studies, and age distributions 160

12 Mark–recapture for estimating survival, recruitment, abundance, and movement rates 189

13 Analysis of habitat 219

14 Estimation of species richness and other community parameters 230

Part III Integrating modeling and monitoring for conservation 251

15 Elements of conservation decision making 253

16 Accounting for uncertainty in conservation decisions 265

17 Learning and adaptive management 274

18 Case study: decision modeling and adaptive management for declining grassland birds in the southeastern USA 289

19 Summary and recommendations 303

Literature cited 307

Glossary 314

Appendix A: Statistical and modeling programs available on the worldwide web 324

Appendix B: Other internet resources 326

Appendix C: Modeling and statistical notation 328

Appendix D: Key to abundance and parameter estimation 331

Index 337