Full View Integrated Technical Analysis: A Systematic Approach to Active Stock Market Investing

1 The Need for a Full View Integrated Approach.

1.1 The Motivation.

1.2 The Necessity of FVITA.

1.3 Random Walk?

2 Two Basic Elements of Market Dynamics.

2.1 Oscillators—An Overview.

2.2 The Oscillator of Choice—Stochastics.

2.3 Trend Indicator—Moving Average.

2.4 Trend Indicator—Moving Average Convergence/Divergence.

2.5 Adaptive Trend Indicators.

2.6 Adaptive Oscillators.

2.7 Other Tools of Technical Analysis.

3 Multi-Screen Systems.

3.1 The Need for Multi-Screen Approaches.

3.2 Triple Screens.

3.3 Extended Interval Charts in FVITA—Daily and Up.

3.4 Intra-Day Interval Charts in FVITA.

4 Bounded, Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Markets.

4.1 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market I—Concept.

4.2 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market II—Criteria.

4.3 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market III—Limits of Countermovements.

4.4 Triple Screen System Under Full View.

5 Market Turning Points and Duration of Pauses.

5.1 Support and Resistance.

5.2 Bollinger Bands.

5.3 Waves.

5.4 Turning Points after Eight and R9 Observations.

5.5 Thrust.

5.6 Type I, II, and III Pauses.

6 Trend Reversals vs. Temporary Countertrends.

6.1 Trend Reversals.

6.2 Without the Two-Day Chart.

6.3 Running Space after Trend Reversal.

6.4 Temporary Countertrends.

6.5 Straight Pauses.

6.6 Exception 1: Composite Bottoming-Up and Composite Topping-Off.

6.7 Exception 2: Approaching the Turning Point.

6.8 Relationship between Low- and High-Order Signals.

6.9 Trading Strategies on Trend Signals.

7 Pauses Under Different Market Conditions.

7.1 Pausing-Down from a Historical New High.

7.2 Pauses Against Temporary Trends.

7.3 Trading Strategies for Pauses.

8 Case Studies.

8.1 Case 1: The 2007 Financial Market Crisis—DJIA.

8.2 Case 2: The 2000 High-Tech Bubble and its Aftermath—DJIA.

8.3 Case 3: The 1990 Bubble and Fall—Topix.

8.4 Case 4: The 2003 Rebound and 2007 Crash.

8.5 Case 5: The 2007 Crash—Shanghai Composite Index.

9 Random Walk, Effi cient Market vs. Market Activism.

9.1 Efficient Market Hypothesis—The Roots 208.

9.2 Efficient Market Hypothesis—The Evidence.

9.3 EMH, Market Activism and the $100 Bill Story.

9.4 Flawed Empirical Observations Against Market Activism.

9.5 A Fund to Show Effective Market Activision.

9.6 A Theoretical Argument for Technical Analysis.

10 Integrating Macro, Fundamental, Quantitative and Technical Analysis.

10.1 The Fragmented State of Market Analysis.

10.2 Integrating Different Technical Analyses Under FVITA.

10.3 Macroeconomic Analysis and FVITA.

10.3.1 Integrated Approach to News Processing.

10.3.2 Integrated Analysis of Bubbles and Panics.

10.4 Firm Fundamentals and FVITA 248.

10.5 Options and FVITA.

11 Other Issues.

11.1 Statistical Analysis.

11.2 Technical Analysis as Public Knowledge.

12 Concluding Remarks.

Glossary.

References.

Index.