Scenarios for Success: Turning Insights in to Action

List of Contributors ix

Preface xiii

Acknowledgments xv

Overview xvii

Part I Origins: Navigating with Invisible Islands 1

1 Conversations with Peter Schwartz and Napier Collyns 13
Bill Sharpe

2 Professional Dreamers: The Future in the Past of Scenario Planning 27
Cynthia Selin

Part II Scenarios In the World of Business 53

3 Scenarios and Innovation 75
Jan Verloop

4 Scenarios to Develop Strategic Options: A New Interactive Role for Scenarios in Strategy 89
Rafael Ramírez and Kees Van der Heijden

5 Deepening Futures with System Structure 121
Tony Hodgson and Bill Sharpe

6 From Signals to Decisions 145
Alexander Fink, Philip Hadridge and Gill Ringland

7 When Strangers Meet: Scenarios and the Legal Profession 173
Karim Medjad and Rafael Ramírez

8 The Power of Narrative 197
Lennart Nordfors

Part III Scenarios In the World of Management 217

9 Viewing Futures Network: Collaborative Learning and Innovation at Rabobank 235
Paul de Ruijter

10 Facilitating Scenario Development Process: Some Lessons for Facilitators 259
Ronald Bradfield

11 Appreciating the Future 279
Tony Hodgson

12 Building a Comprehensive Strategic Future Management System: A Future Map Approach 315
Don Heathfield

13 Acting on the Future 339
Andrew Curry

14 Backwards to the Future: Scenarios as Routines for Organizational Health 373
James Tansey

Concluding Remarks 391

References 395

Index 403