Modeling and Simulation for Analyzing Global Events

I PRINCIPLES OF MODELING AND SIMULATION: ADVANCING GLOBAL STUDIES.

1 Modeling and Simulation: What, When, and Why.

Introduction.

An Overview of Modeling and Simulation.

A Brief History of Modeling and Simulation.

Why Use Modeling and Simulation.

Conclusions.

Key Terms.

References.

Further Reading.

2 Research Methodologies for Modeling Global Events.

Introduction.

Global Events and the Social Sciences.

Qualitative and Quantitative Research.

Modeling and Simulation of Global Events.

Mapping Data: A Suggested Methodology.

Model Validation.

Conclusions.

Key Terms.

References.

II MODELING PARADIGMS.

3 System Dynamics.

Introduction.

Dynamic System Behavior.

Building Blocks of System Dynamics Models.

Conclusions.

Key Terms.

References.

4 Agent-Based Modeling and Social Networks.

Introduction.

Agent-Based Models: Description and Definition.

Social Networks.

Building an Agent-Based Model.

Conclusions.

Key Terms.

References.

5 Game Theory.

Introduction.

Fundamentals of Game Theory.

Types of Games.

Conclusions.

Key Terms.

References.

III MODELING GLOBAL EVENTS.

6 Case Study: Colombia—A Country Study on Insurgency.

Introduction.

Developing the Research Question and Methodology.

Background: Qualitative Research.

Mapping Qualitative to Quantitative.

System Dynamics.

Responding to the Research Question.

Key Terms.

References.

Case Study Bibliography.

7 Case Study: The Polish Solidarity Movement—Laying the Foundation for the Collapse of Soviet Communism.

Introduction.

Developing the Research Question and Methodology.

Background: Qualitative Research.

Measuring Agents and Environments: Stimuli and Actions.

Modeling Human Behavior with Agents.

Responding to the Research Question.

Conclusions.

Key Terms.

References.

Case Study Bibliography.

8 Case Study: Vietnam—Johnson’s War, 1963–1965.

Introduction.

Developing the Research Question and Methodology.

Background: Qualitative Research.

Analyzing the Social Network Structures.

Social Network Aspects of Human Behavior Modeling.

Agent-Based Model Development.

Responding to the Research Question.

Key Terms.

References.

Case Study Bibliography.

9 Case Study: Cuban Missile Crisis—A National Security Emergency.

Introduction.

Developing the Research Question and Methodology.

Background: Qualitative Research.

Evaluating Behaviors.

Game Theory.

Responding to the Research Question.

Key Terms.

References.

Case Study Bibliography.

Index.